China's Assertion as a Metallurgical Power [2025]
In
July 2023 and again in August 2024, China announced restrictions on the
export of germanium, gallium, and then antimony to Western countries.
This decision, which was not the first of its kind by the Middle
Kingdom, nevertheless takes on added significance in a tense global
context with the United States. The decision also recognizes the
industrial and logistical maturity of a country that knows it is robust
enough to oppose Western interests.
Three critical materials for Western industrial activity :
Germanium
(Ge, number 32), gallium (Ga, number 31), antimony (Sb, number 51):
these materials with such singular names have hardly made the news in
recent months. This is all the more damaging given their essential role
in the ecological and digital transitions that Western societies have
imposed on themselves, as well as in the development of contemporary
civil and military technologies. Because these materials play crucial
roles in several sectors due to their unique properties.
This
metal (gallium) and these metalloids [1] (germanium and antimony) have
qualities that make them almost indispensable in our daily civilian and
military lives. Here are some examples to better illustrate their
importance:
Gallium :
- Semiconductors: Gallium is primarily used in semiconductors, notably in gallium arsenide ( GaAs ). This compound is preferred over silicon for some electronic applications because it offers better high-frequency performance, which is essential for telecommunications, satellites, and microwave generation.
- LED: Light-emitting diodes (LEDs) often use gallium substrates for their energy efficiency and brightness.
- Photovoltaics: Gallium is also used in some high-efficiency solar cells.
Germanium :
- Optoelectronics: Germanium is used in optical fibers and optoelectronic devices because of its high refractive index and transparency in infrared light.
- Semiconductors: Before silicon became dominant, germanium was widely used in transistors. It is still used in specialized applications where its unique electrical properties are required.
- Infrared: Infrared detectors, such as those used in thermal imaging cameras, benefit from the properties of germanium.
Antimony :
- Alloys: Antimony is used to produce alloys with lead and tin. For example, lead-antimony alloy is used in starter batteries for vehicles.
- Flame retardant: It is also used as a flame retardant in plastics and textiles, increasing their resistance to fire.
- Electronics: Antimony is a key component in some types of semiconductors and in the manufacture of diodes and solar cells.
Given
these examples, it's clear that these three elements are vital in the
fields of electronics, renewable energy, and advanced materials.
Especially since their demand is growing with the advancement of
technologies such as 5G, electric vehicles, and photovoltaic solar
systems.
China's New Value Chain Control Strategy :
In
the new great game of world powers for the control and exploitation of
mineral resources, China's decision to initiate an embargo on the export
of these three raw materials is not insignificant because it reflects a
very good knowledge of their role but above all, it confirms the
maturity of the State breaking with the strategy of the twenty-four
characters of the former leader Deng Xiaoping (1904-1997) [2].
Moreover,
this risk does not only concern raw materials but also technologies
related to their processing, and particularly concerning rare earths
where the Chinese authorities have banned the export of chemical
processes and technologies for their separation and refining. When we
know that China represents 89% of the export of these, we understand all
the more easily the crucial role of such a political-commercial
decision. For the moment, rare earths themselves are not affected by an
embargo or export restriction but the threat, temporary or permanent, is
possible. If it were to be activated, then it would be a very hard blow
for the manufacture of electric motors, wind turbines and certain
military detection systems (radar and sonar).
What is important
to understand is that these decisions are not the result of erratic mood
swings but are the result of a strategy of geoeconomic assertion and
the protection of critical resources and recognized expertise.
When
Donald J. Trump (1946) insisted on "twisting the arm" of Ukrainian
leader Volodymyr Zelensky to sign a trade agreement on the mineral
resources of his country's subsoil (with an emphasis on rare earths in
passing), it is not out of unreason but out of an increased need for the
United States to have substantial reserves of raw materials whose use
has increased considerably since the 20th century, going so far as to
concern the entire periodic table of elements (118 to date) due to the
extension and complexity of civil and military technologies.
China,
which has made the electric vehicle its technological and commercial
battle horse [3], is an excellent demonstrator of its mastery of the
entire value chain, from raw materials to the finished product, and even
to the provision of related services. As evidence of this geoeconomic
shift from the Atlantic to the Pacific, the United States has now more
openly defended a protectionist policy since the first term of Donald J.
Trump , while China has become the herald of free trade, with the main
issue being control over mineral resources and their supply lines [4].
In
a context where contemporary global domination is carried out at the
intersection of energy, metallurgical and algorithmic power, the trade
war for mineral resources and diplomatic influence games are in full
swing.
[1] Metalloids are similar to metals but with
specific properties in the fields of electrical and thermal conduction,
the chemical structure of which gives them reactions appreciated in the
field of chemistry and electronics.
[2] The translation of these would be summarized as follows in French: “ Observe calmly, stabilize your position, respond with composure, conceal your ambitions, feign humility, never seek to dominate.”
[3] Y. Harrel , Electromobility: from mines to batteries , Nuvis , 2025.
[4]
The Panama Canal crisis in January/February 2025 aims at a challenge by
the American executive of the Torrijos -Carter treaties of 1977
guaranteeing freedom of transit. However, the Panama Canal has entered
into the Chinese strategy known as the New Silk Road aimed at
guaranteeing land and sea crossing points for its convoys and fleets.
